Forecasting Finlandization: How will Xi’s China seek to revise East Asia’s regional order?

15:00 to 17:00
(GMT+01:00) Brussels, Copenhagen, Madrid, Paris
Online Seminar

About the event

This EISS Hybrid and Online Seminar will discuss Dr. Friso Stevens’ forthcoming article “Forecasting Finlandization: How will Xi’s China seek to revise East Asia’s regional order?”, exploring Xi Jinping’s foreign policy doctrine and its implications for China-US security relations. An initial presentation from the author will be followed by a discussion with Xiaoyu Pu, Ph.D. (University of Nevada) and Andrew Chubb, Ph.D. (Lancaster University), chaired by Dr. Julie Yu-Wen Chen, Ph.D. (University of Helsinki).


Contrasting neorealist assumptions, this article argues that China’s rise in East Asia will be different based on its particular socio-historic, ideational, and political characteristics. The leadership image is used to analyze how Xi Jinping’s “Community of Common Destiny” and “Thought on Diplomacy” are designed to revise the existing US-led liberal order in East Asia. In doing so, the article evaluates Deutsch and Singer’s definition of a stable system, and the more narrow ICJ non-intervention definition of a viable one, against Chinese foreign policy in the New Era. The article asserts that China is not pursuing the hegemonic path Western imperial powers chose in the past, trying to expand its physical territory. Rather, China wants to restore the (maritime) territories claimed by the Republicans and regain the “neo-imperial” influence over regional states it had before 1842. Employing equally dissimilar means, China will try to achieve its aims by adopting strong diplomatic rhetoric and practice, furthering its parallel institutional designs, and, above all, by creating economic dependencies that it can leverage until it is militarily strong enough to push the US out of Asia.


Presenter and author: Friso Stevens, University of Helsinki and European University Institute

Chair: Julie Yu-Wen Chen, University of Helsinki
Discussant 1: Xiaoyu Pu, University of Nevada
Discussant 2: Andrew Chubb, Lancaster University

About EISS Online & Hybrid Events

Our expanding EISS community is the centre stage of this initiative. All EISS members now have the opportunity to propose an online event on the subject of their choice and the EISS will help maximise the event’s global visibility, audiences, and impact. The goal here is to utilise the EISS global network to showcase your work, build connections, and engage with peers from the world pursuing similar interests. From book launches to seminars and roundtables, you decide on the format and themes of the event and the EISS will provide the zoom link to all community members, and the event will be advertised by email and the EISS’s social media.

EISS Online & Hybrid Events will take one of the three following formats:

(1) Online Roundtables & Conferences

(2) Early Career Seminars

(3) Doctoral Training Workshops

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